{"id":123015,"date":"2018-01-30T10:13:57","date_gmt":"2018-01-30T15:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedetroitbureau.com\/?p=123015"},"modified":"2018-01-30T10:15:29","modified_gmt":"2018-01-30T15:15:29","slug":"new-vehicle-sales-expected-to-drop-in-january","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/2018\/01\/new-vehicle-sales-expected-to-drop-in-january\/","title":{"rendered":"New Vehicle Sales Expected to Drop in January"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
New vehicle sales are expected to drop in January, according to industry forecasts.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

For the second consecutive year, the new vehicle retail sales pace in January is expected to drop from year-ago levels, according to forecasts from J.D. Power, LMC Automotive and Edmunds.<\/p>\n

The total seasonally adjusted annualized rate for January\u00a0is expected to be 17.1 million units, with retail sales falling by 150,000 vehicles from a year ago, according to J.D. Power.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Sales News!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cComing off a strong sales period to close out 2017, a slower start to the year was anticipated,\u201d said\u00a0Thomas King, senior vice president of the Data and Analytics Division at J.D. Power. \u201cAfter the industry\u2019s emphasis on the sell-down of old model-year vehicles in December, January is a transition month as manufacturers shift focus towards 2018 model-year vehicles.\u201d<\/p>\n

King added through mid-January, 2018 model-year vehicles accounted for 73% of retail sales, an increase of more than 11 percentage points from December.<\/p>\n

(Auto ownership may have passed its peak. <\/em>Click Here<\/a><\/span>for the story.)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Even the increased sales of vehicles like the Lincoln Navigator won't boost January sales.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Average transaction prices so far in January have risen to $32,169, the highest level ever for the month of January and the total value of new vehicles purchased will increase by just over $1 billion from last year\u2019s level, King said.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe challenge in 2018 will be maintaining incentive discipline, coming off a year when incentive spending per unit reached the highest level ever recorded,\u201d King said. Average incentive spending through the first two weeks of January is $3,733, up $94 from the same period last year and on track to set a record high to start the year.<\/p>\n

Edmunds, a leading car shopping and information platform, forecasts that the January SAAR will reach 16.7 million. This reflects a 29.8% decrease in sales from December 2017 and a 1.4% decrease from January 2017.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn January, automakers are expected to pull the reins in on the more generous incentive programs that we saw at the end of 2017,\u201d said Jessica Caldwell, executive director of industry analysis at Edmunds.<\/p>\n

(<\/strong><\/em>Click Here<\/a><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>for more about automaker concerns for 2018 sales after a slow December.)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cHowever, it’s typical to see a slowdown at dealerships in January following the high-selling holiday months. This isn\u2019t necessarily a solid indicator of the direction that the year is headed in terms of overall sales.\u201d<\/p>\n

Sluggish January sales are also expected as a result of severe winter weather in many parts of the country.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe bomb cyclone that tore through the East Coast at the beginning of the month certainly didn\u2019t help an already slower sales month,\u201d said Caldwell.<\/p>\n

Jeff Schuster, senior vice president of forecast at LMC automotive, noted while the negotiations on the North American Free Trade Agreement are something of a wild card, the outlook for 2018 is upbeat.<\/p>\n

(New vehicle sales sputtered in December. To see why,<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>Click Here<\/a><\/span><\/strong>.)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cOn the heels of a strong close in 2017 to 17.2 million units, optimism for a solid 2018 seems to be growing. Most variables are aligned favorably, with the majority of that positive weight being carried by an expected boost in the economy. The tax\u00a0cut is expected to help drive the economy toward the 3% growth level, which we haven\u2019t seen since 2005,” Schuster said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Last year’s sales decline in the auto industry is expected to continue into this year, according to forecasts from J.D. Power, LMC Automotive and Edmunds. Read the story at TheDetroitBureau.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20009,"featured_media":118551,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,5],"tags":[],"make":[],"post-state":[],"category_old":[150,151,123,132,283,139,288],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123015"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/20009"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=123015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123015\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/118551"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=123015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=123015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=123015"},{"taxonomy":"make","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/make?post=123015"},{"taxonomy":"post-state","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post-state?post=123015"},{"taxonomy":"category_old","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/category_old?post=123015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}