{"id":35425,"date":"2011-01-19T17:11:24","date_gmt":"2011-01-19T22:11:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedetroitbureau.com\/?p=35425"},"modified":"2011-01-19T17:12:04","modified_gmt":"2011-01-19T22:12:04","slug":"teslas-model-s-all-dressed-up-and-nowhere-to-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/2011\/01\/teslas-model-s-all-dressed-up-and-nowhere-to-go\/","title":{"rendered":"Tesla\u2019s Model S: All Dressed Up and Nowhere to Go?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
Tesla plans to launch production of the Model S sedan sometime in early 2012.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A new video released by Silicon Valley start-up Tesla Motors suggests the maker is moving rapidly ahead with the development of its planned Model S sedan, and may very well make its ambitious target of going to market in 2012.<\/p>\n

With a planned price tag under $50,000 \u2013 after federal and state rebates, where available \u2013 Tesla is hoping the Model S will prove naysayers wrong about the viability and flexibility of electric propulsion.\u00a0 Notably, to overcome so-called \u201crange anxiety,\u201d the ambitious automaker will offer three different battery packs: a base version delivering 160 miles under optimum conditions, one that pushes to 230 miles, and a third lithium-ion pack that will get as much as 300 miles per charge, about what a motorist might expect on a tank of gas with the typical automobile.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Plug In...Subscribe Now!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But company sources acknowledge that the larger batteries, especially the pack providing a 300-mile range, may be not only priced beyond what most motorists could afford \u2013 but that few, if any owners would be equipped to utilize its extended range without long layovers between drives.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
A closer look at the aluminum-intensive underpinnings of the Tesla Model S sedan.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tesla has just released a video of one of the first early, or alpha, prototypes of the Model S undergoing road testing.\u00a0 (<\/em>Click Here<\/a> <\/span>to see it in action.)<\/em><\/strong> As with the maker\u2019s original Tesla Roadster, the new sedan is shockingly quiet, even at highway speeds, one of the advantages of using electric propulsion.<\/p>\n

In a statement describing the behavior of the Model S, Tesla\u2019s Chief Dynamicist, Graham Sutherland, suggested, \u201cThe first Alpha is amazingly agile for a car of its size. It has great handling balance and poised ride with communicative steering. Just goes to show what combining a low center of gravity with a very stiff body structure can achieve.\u201d<\/p>\n

At the Detroit Auto Show, Tesla is showing off the guts of the Model S, hoping to underscore just how solid that aluminum intensive chassis and body structure will be.\u00a0 A close look reveals a double wishbone suspension, and a rear subframe designed to hold both the rear suspension and motor, as well as the driveline\u2019s electronic control system.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe assiduously pursued weight savings at absolutely no expense of safety,\u201d asserted Peter Rollinson, the project\u2019s engineering team leader, during an auto show news briefing.<\/p>\n

A key design strategy makes use of the battery pack \u2013 which contains about 7,000 laptop computer-sized batteries \u2013 as a structural element mounted underneath the cabin.\u00a0 This has a \u201cmultiplier effect,\u201d according to Robinson, improving rigidity and reducing noise and vibration, he claims.<\/p>\n

Tesla has been counting on the rapid development of lithium-ion batteries, founder Elon Musk recently stressed in a conversation with TheDetroitBureau.com.\u00a0 That will pay off in a variety of ways, he asserted: including both improved energy density \u2013 which, for a motorist, translates into longer range \u2013 and lower costs.<\/p>\n

Where analysts were basing forecasts on a price of about $1,000 per kilowatt hour for lithium-ion in 2009, Musk broadly hinted Tesla is counting on that dipping to $400 or less per kWh during the life of the Model S program.\u00a0 The savings could be enormous.<\/p>\n

Consider the Nissan Leaf, which uses 24 kWh of LIon batteries to get an average 100 miles per charge.\u00a0 A pack that size would drop from $24,000 to $9,600 if it underwent the same reduction in price Tesla anticipates.\u00a0 (Nissan insiders are even more optimistic \u2013 a well-placed source telling TheDetroitBureau.com that the Japanese maker expects to get its batteries down to $300 a kilowatt-hour \u2013 or lower.)<\/p>\n

But the bigger, longer-range Model S will need a lot more battery.\u00a0 According to Rollinson, Tesla expects the sedan to consumer 300 watt-hours a mile.\u00a0 A quick bit of math and that works out to 48 kWh for the smallest Model S battery.\u00a0 And that doesn\u2019t take into consideration that lithium technology doesn\u2019t like to be complete drained or 100% charged up.\u00a0 So, more likely, the new electric vehicle will start with a base battery pack in the range of 52 to 55 kWh.<\/p>\n

For the 230-mile model, that would jump to somewhere near 75 kWh.\u00a0 And for the 300-mile range Model S, the pack would be an enormous 100 kWh or larger \u2013 at least three times the size of the Leaf battery.<\/p>\n

Even if Tesla were to price the car based on the anticipated plunge in lithium-ion pricing, the battery pack for a 300-mile Model S would cost the company about $20,000 more than for the base vehicle.\u00a0 If the traditional option model holds, the California maker would charge nearly as much as the base car for the upgrade.<\/p>\n

For the record, Rollinson and other Tesla officials are not commenting, but sources confirm TheDetroitBureau.com\u2019s math.\u00a0 And there are even more problematic numbers.<\/p>\n

There are plenty of folks willing and able to spend the money for the extra range.\u00a0 But price might not be the biggest obstacle.\u00a0 To make use of all that range one needs to get the batteries charged up.\u00a0 And that won\u2019t be easy.<\/p>\n

As early battery car customers are quickly learning, using household 110-volt current to charge an electric vehicle is an undesirable option.\u00a0 With Leaf, you\u2019ll plug in as soon as you get home for work and barely be ready to go in time for the morning commute.<\/p>\n

Opting for a Level II 220-volt charger will typically trim the charge time down by at least half.\u00a0 Depending on the amperage of the charging system, that can bring charging times down significantly.\u00a0 Ford\u2019s 7.5-amp Level II charger for the upcoming Focus Electric is expected to trim times down to just 3.5 hours, about half the time required to recharge Leaf using its lower-amperage system.<\/p>\n

The larger Model S, with its huge 300-mile battery, would, at best require about 14 hours to get back on the road \u2013 at best.\u00a0 A lower-amperage charger would keep the sedan tethered for a day or more.\u00a0 That is, unless an owner were ready to head out on only a partial charge.\u00a0 But, at that point, what would justify paying the huge price premium for the extra kilowatt-hours?<\/p>\n

There is an alternative, said Rollinson, when pressed with this analysis, Level III chargers, which use 440 volts converted to DC current.\u00a0 For vehicles like the Leaf and Focus Electric, such systems could yield an 80% quick \u201cfill-up\u201d in as little as 20 to 30 minutes.\u00a0 Even then, the 300-mile Model S might need a couple hours.<\/p>\n

And, of course, that assumes an owner were near a Level III charger.\u00a0 Currently, there\u2019s only one publicly available, near Portland, Oregon, and it\u2019s anyone\u2019s guess how quickly more will be added to the emerging electric vehicle infrastructure.<\/p>\n

Significantly, this would move Model S owners away from the strategy of being able to recharge overnight \u2013 at home \u2013 when electric rates are lowest.<\/p>\n

The ability to drive from Detroit to Chicago, New York to Boston, and nearly from L.A. to San Francisco without recharging does have its appeal.\u00a0 But whether potential buyers will look past the drawbacks remains to be seen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tesla has released a new video of an early Model S undergoing road testing. The maker plans to put the sedan in production next year, and offer optional, extended-range battery packs. But an analysis by TheDetroitBureau.com finds the 300-mile battery might be too expensive – and difficult to charge – to find many takers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":35428,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"make":[],"post-state":[],"category_old":[151],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35425"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35425\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35425"},{"taxonomy":"make","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/make?post=35425"},{"taxonomy":"post-state","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post-state?post=35425"},{"taxonomy":"category_old","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/category_old?post=35425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}